In some previous post I have been talking about possible coastal developement around the 23rd but since then the models lost it completely. Now the GFS has brought it back 156 hours out: (click for bigger image)

Now remember this model is on it's own right now. It's the only one showing a storm but more model runs come out at 18z and if anything comes up expect a post. Chances of this event are still very low around 5%
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