The Great New York Hurricane of 2008

Just click for a bigger Image. Now remember this is the 18utc GFS 372 hours out and extremely unreliable. I normally wouldn't post a blog for this but the storm showed up a few days ago on the 6utc run so things could be getting interesting. Each model brought it up the coast with two landfalls, one in the Carolinas and one along the Jersey shore. If the trend continues expect more updates...

Icecap records are being crushed!

I realize that I haven't been posting very often and thats because, well, I must admit that I lose interest when summer time comes in the weather. Yeah, severe weather and hurricanes don't really get me into weather mode what really does is October-April when the NAO hits a negative phase and coastal developement of snowstorms becomes possible. But I am also big on the climate change topic and something of great interest has happened, something big...

We all hear stories how the arctic is losing ice to global warming and is slowing disappearing, well it is on a downward trend these past couple of decades but I do believe that downward trend is going to reverse as the years go on. In fact last September of 2007 the arctic sea ice hit the record low extent since records began back in the late 1970's. I can almost bet that everyone has heard of that but did you ever hear that it made the greatest come back in recorded history? That's right it went from the record low extent to almost near normal in just a few months time, below is the chart and you can click for a bigger image.



















Besides the arctic breaking these records the antarctic is far more impressive and is breaking records for the greatest ice extent on a regular basis. In September of 2007 when the arctic hit its record low ice extent the opposite went on at the south pole. It hit the all time record and completely crushed the old record. Ok and if that isn't enough for you, during the south poles summer (our winter) while the sea ice should hit it's lowest extent of the year it hit its highest low ice extent of all time at 1 million square km above average. If it hasn't sunk into your head look at the chart below. It is updated for June 22 and the ice extent is growing and already reached it's minimum level for the year. The minimum level for this year beats most of the maximum's of the past 30 years! Just think, the lowest level of this year almost broke the old maximum ice extent set before the 2007 level. The point is, the antarctic sea ice has been breaking records every single month, every day, every hour, every minute, and every second for the past year. Global warming should be global, don't you think?






















P.S. Sorry about any spelling mistakes or anything, I am sick right now and not feeling up to much revisions.

Is the world cooling?

It's been awhile since I wrote up a blog and there is good reason, we could say that it's been very boring weather wise and no shocking glo-bull warming stories or is there? There still has not been any sunspots and it's having an effect on the world already. Antarctica which just broke it's record ice extent last year looks like its going to top itself this year. Speaking of this year here are my May stats for Netcong:

Rain: 3.98"
Days of rain: 18
May 9th: Record rainfall 1.22"

Last Freeze: May 1st

Average temp: 57.50"
Average high=70 Average low=45

Actual Temp:54.905 (-3.21)
High=65.08 Low=44.73

May 9th: Record low high (48.3)
May 20th: Record low high (52.0)


May ended up 3.21 degrees below average and it wasn't just here, it was the country as whole almost. Let check out the other months:

Jan +2.896
Feb +0.077
Mar -0.04
Apr +3.28
May -3.21
_________
Year: +3.003

Ok so the year is still on the warm side but only for the southeast up the east coast, otherwise the rest of the country is below average and the world has now fallen 1 degree in average temperature since 1998. Undoing that 0.6 degrees of warming that Gore is always complaining about.

Keancast

Here is my first Keancast show. It does have water marks from when I converted the file but I'll fix it soon.

Glacial advance has begun

I found this a bit interesting. In Iceland they are making a barrier to try and stop the advancing ice sheets. Personally I feel that it's pointless for them to even try this because nothing can stop glacial advance, not even mountains.

Do you believe in global warming?

I just wanna make things clear. People seem to think that I don't like the environment and that I deny basic scientific knowledge. Let me get this straight.

What I don't believe in:

-Anthropogenic global warming from man made green house gases

What I do believe in:

-Recycling

-Renewable energy

-The green house effect

-Taking care of the environment

-Climate change

-Between the late 70's-1998 we

were in a warming phase

-Between 1998-2008 we are in a

cooling phase

I don't hate the environment and I'm not evil, and don't put words into my mouth. If you believe in global warming 100% and you don't know what the chart means below you need to do some research and stop believing everything you see and hear is true...

Can it be snow?

As I look toward the Global Fantasy Server Model (GFS) something caught my eye. Next Thursday night, while it's in the 30's here in Sussex there will be some precipitation flying around the area. Now the model has it being rain with a little bit of snow flakes if it is at night anyway....

Now here's the kicker. Next Thursday is May 1st... Now let's be honest, it can snow this year of the year but for the GFS to actually get something right for once is what I'm having a problem with. Chances of snow in June are greater than the probability of the GFS being correct 16 days out, I'm not kidding...

Check out the model run. (Click for bigger image)