Monday, October 27, 2008

First snow storm of the year!

Yes that's right. We will get our first accumulating snow of the 08-09 season! We are going to do a different approach by using model soundings. These soundings determine if the atmosphere can support snow to reach the surface or not and are very easy to read. This first sounding is for Andover NJ and bascically tells us that at 8:00a.m. tomorrow morning snow be falling at elevations of

By 2:00 p.m Tuesday the snow levels will drop down to 1,000 feet and keep falling eventually bringing some wet flakes to the suburbs of New York City by late night. Here is the sounding:

The NAM shows very heavy precip at this time falling as snow for Sussex county, western Morris, and Northern Warren county. I am not going to bother to make a snow map because there two possible solutions. We get 1-2 inches across the higher terrain only or 3-6 across most of Sussex, Wester Morris, and Northern Warren. I hate to say it, but we are border line between them and it can go either way. It may just be a surprise...

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