Best Ski Deal Ever

If your a full time college student, love to ski/board, and like to go to Vermont then I have a suggestion for you. Killington Resort "The Beast of the East" is offering a Unlimited season pass for just $329.00 if you can provide proof that you are a full time college student College Pass Deal. This is the best deal I could find in Vermont, and I say go for it! This is a deal that I cannot turn down, cause it pays for itself in just 4 visits.

End of summer

Today (Wednesday Aug 26th), will be the last of that summer feel we had the last two weeks. As of now it looks like an early-fall like air mass will be moving in over the next week and highs will average from 65-75 and lows 45-55. It looks like things are getting started a little early this year...

This is what winter means to northwest jersey. Keep this sight in mind, cause its coming and lots of it. -( winter 09 outlook preview)

Halloween 2008

My house on halloween last year.

Interesting weather is ahead...

We have another 10 days ahead of summer like weather until the tides begin to turn. By the 21st of August a strong trough will move into the Northeast and bring a fall like air mass into the region. If the below map is correct for the 23rd my forecast would be: 56/42. That is most certainly a record breaking air mass, considering if the GFS is correct or not.

This is a map of the next day, with a hurricane just off shore and not cool, but cold weather? It's still far but let's see what happens with this, but it seems like some tropical weather could impact the east coast sometime next week.

Monday busted. What a surprise?

Well of course it did not get as hot today as everyone forecasted. Yesterday I forecasted a high temperature of 87 and a low of 64 (Read previous blog). This was the actual:

High: 87.4

Low: 66.6

This means everyone busted by 5-6 degrees. But this is nothing knew, it's been happening almost every single day this year. Over shooting the temperatures is an old method, but my "cold biased" seemed to work some what well.

(**Sarcasm on**) I would like to thank NOAA for the heat advisory for the temperature being 6 degrees above average. (**Sarcasm off**) I saw this issue YESTERDAY, and I don't know how nobody else did...

Monday is gunna bust!

Forecasted high temperatures from Noaa, Weather Channel, and accuweather are all going to bust horribly tomorrow. The current forecast is way too warm!

Noaa: 92/69

Weather Channel: 93/69

Accuweather: 92/66

First off this summers high temperature in my town (Netcong) is 83.2 degrees back in the middle of July. Sadly enough we only broke 80 ten times all summer long, and since the average high in the summer is 81 that makes it significant. Secondly the "highlands" region of Jersey which extends from Mount Olive, Netcong, Stanhope, Byram, Hopatcong, Jefferson, and extending all the way up to West Milford does NOT get very warm. In fact there is only one spot thats colder and thats the High Point Monument.

As you can see below that "highlands" region has never broken that 100 mark. So if you live there, you may never have experienced 100+ temperatures. It's clearly a signature of the 1,000+ foot elevations and the area ranges between 97-100 for ALL TIME high temperatures. So tell me, do you really think we are going to near the ALL TIME high temps in a summer such as this? The answer is no. I think, unfortunately, that weather forecasts now are biased toward "warmer" weather because that's how things were back in the global warming days. But for the past few years it seems that all the forecasts have been way too warm, and that's due to cooling from the inactive sun spot cycle which can be compared to the Dalton Minimum.

So what's the forecast tomorrow? Here we go:

Forecast

High=87

Low=64

Check back tomorrow for verification. Because if I'm under a "heat advisory" for 87 degrees (when the average high is 81) then NOAA has some issues to work out...