This is the GFS model, it's most recent run still has the storm but pushes more out over the ocean. (Click for bigger image)
And, ofcourse, the extented NAM, otherwise known as the DGEX has a monster! (Click for bigger image)
Now that model after model is going with the idea of this storm I can say that there is a 75% chance of it happening. Now we need to find out where, when, who, and how it all comes together in the end. The chances of our area getting snow at this point is a 50/50 shot right now. If the European model begins to show the storm then that will tip the scale because the Euro has been doing awesome as of lately. Expect more updates with the new runs in the morning.