Sunday, January 27, 2013


As predicted the cold air will hang in longer at the surface causing a wintry mix of precipitation to occur over the area. Snow, to sleet, to freezing rain, and maybe a little drizzle toward the end. Accumulations will be light as this system doesn't have a lot of moisture associated with it. Around 1" for most areas north of I-80 with a thin coating of ice to cap it off. Here is a look at the forecasted snow totals of the RPM

Now there is the chance some heavier bands over PA could make there way into Jersey and could surprise us with an extra inch or so. It's a small event but timing is horrible occurring from morning rush to evening rush hours.

Thursday, January 24, 2013

With all this frigid arctic air around one would think a good storm will eventually materialize. Earlier this week it looked like Friday would bring a plowable snowfall but that is no longer in the cards. The most recent models show almost no snow accumulation at all.

The map above is off the latest RPM and it really doesn't show much more than flurries for most the state. I do think areas of south Jersey could see a little more than this but this storm really isn't something to concern yourself with. Not exactly good news if your skier or snowboarder (like me).

Now, while this may be upsetting think of how much snow the resorts have made over the week and it will allow rapid expansion of terrain, packed powder surface conditions, and more features to built in the parks. The snowmaking window will leave us Monday when temperatures rise into the lower 30's and humidity levels rise, but I think this brings us a shot at some wintry weather.

Here is a look at the GFS for Monday:

This type of event typically starts off as snow, changes to sleet, then freezing rain, and eventually ends as plain rain. If we look at the sounding for Monday you can see the cold air at the surface with a warm air inversion around 850mb producing sleet for us here at the surface.

I think this storm has a greater potential for accumulation, perhaps a few inches. Updates will be posted this weekend.