Long Range

I wanted to hold off on the snow map for now until tomorrow morning because a few things that I just don't see coming together yet. It still seems as if 2-4 inches of snow will fall for Sussex before the change over but I'm not to confident of what type of precip will fall in which areas. I have a feeling that the amount of frozen still could vary from 0.5-5 inches across Sussex and I want to check out more maps tomorrow morning.

Long Range:
Looking into the future after this storm a cold front will move through bring us the coldest and longest duration of cold in perhaps several years. There could be several days in a row where we won't be able to get above 20 degrees and maybe the first negatives since February 4th of 2007. The cold will mostly likely be the heart of our winter, but yielding little in the way of natural snowfall. The good news is that the ski resorts in the region will reach full operation, this will be Mountain Creek first in about 3 winters.

Around the 24th of the month a storm will ride up the coast, perhaps providing us with some nice snows, but it's all bad news. The storm is riding up a warm front which will bring in an all out January thaw where temperatures could reach the 60's. This warmth could last through the first week of February or even longer. Beyond this time frame, I would only be guessing what was going to happen.

I have a saying that one extreme leads to another of the opposite. So the coldest air in years would mean that the warmest air in years will soon follow. It always happens that way with the weather here in Northwest Jersey, even in the historic winter of 95-96 when over three feet of natural snow pack melted in a week with extreme warmth and a massive rain storm. It's just the way things go...