September

September 2008:

1st- 78.6/52.2 0.00" Very nice labor day!

2nd-83.8/56.9 0.00" Warm and sunny!

3rd- 83.0/63.4 0.00" Warm and pleasant! July?

4th- 86.7/63.1 0.00" Hot and humid!

5th- 84.5/65.3 0.00" Hot and humid again!

6th- 74.4/65.5 2.90" Very Humid and tropical storm hanna!

7th- 75.8/59.5 0.00" Sunny and nice

8th- 75.8/55.4 0.00" Nice and sunny day!

9th- 68.8/61.6 0.84" Morning T-Storms with showers rest of day

10th-66.8/52.2 0.00" Sunny and cool

11th-68.4/54.5 0.00" Mostly cloudy and nice and cool

12th-64.8/59.6 0.24" Light rain most of the day

13th-77.2/64.3 0.00" Nice day with a late night sprinkle

14th-84.3/69.3 0.00" Very hot and humid and sunny

15th-77.6/60.4 0.00" Hot and nice

16th-65.2/53.6 0.00" Mostly cloudy all day and cool

17th-68.9/47.4 0.00" Mostly sunny all day and nice

18th-68.3/50.5 0.00" Mostly sunny and nice

19th-60.7/46.5 0.00" Chilly but nice with a few clouds

20th-65.5/42.8 0.00" Partly cloudy and nice

21st-75.3/46.2 0.00" Hot and sunny!

22nd-67.6/51.7 0.00" Mostly cloudy but nice

23rd-66.4/48.6 0.00" Partly cloudy all day and warm

24th-67.4/45.8 0.00" Mostly sunny with a few clouds

25th-60.4/48.6 0.00" Mostly cloudy then turning windy and rainy

26th-61.4/52.3 1.09" Rainy most of the day

27th-67.6/60.2 0.02" Mostly cloudy with a sprinkle

28th-68.8/62.7 0.69" Showers all day and cloudy

29th-65.6/53.2 0.00" Mostly cloudy all day with morning sprinkles

30th-67.4/50.4 0.00" Partly cloudy and warm


September rain= 5.78"

High:2147.0/30 = 71.566
Ave: 73.8

Low:1663.7/30 = 55.456
Ave: 48.9

Temperature 63.511
Ave: 61.35 +2.161

New Jersey Black Bear

Check out this picture I got of these black bear in Netcong NJ, two cubs and the mother bear on September 29th, 2008 at 6:00 p.m! The one cub barked at me while I was looking at him up close in my car, it sounded just like my little Bichon Frise I have back at home. The cutest things you'll see in your life! I can't believe I just used the word cute in my blog for everyone to see... wow

Fall color is showing!

So far this year the fall color has been very slow to start but in the past two days we have seen atleast a 10% increase in color and peak color is about 2-3 weeks away. Here is a current picture taken at only around 850 feet in elevation.

First freeze and snow?

The 6UTC model runs just came out and the GFS is showing are first feeze, during the first couple days of the month. This event has be consistent on the models for a week now and I even posted on it just a few days ago if you look below. If the GFS is right on October 4th you can expect upper 30's for high temps and shattered snow showers and snow squalls. Now I'm not saying this is correct because its still 7 days out but it seems that the first freeze for Warren, Western Morris, and Sussex counties will be next week which marks the end of the growing season. As for the first snow, I doubt it, not for northwest Jeresy anyway but right off the great lakes looks pretty good! (Winter is coming)

Click for bigger image:

Funny Hippy Video

This is a MUST SEE video. You will laugh your socks off!

Global Cooling Is Coming

When we talk about climate change most people think about man made C02 spewing into the atmosphere but that has very little or anything to do with it. The real concern of climate should be focused on what the sun is doing! I actually read an article ( http://environment.newscientist.com/article/dn14724-antarctic-sea-ice-increases-despite-warming.html) yesterday that said the Antartica sea ice extent has been so large (record) because of global warming caused by man, so offically global warming causes global cooling, and drought, and flooding, la nina, el nino, and some are blaming earthquakes on global warming believe it or not! (http://www.livescience.com/environment/070830_gw_quakes.html). Come on, next you will be hearing about manbearpig and crab people.

The main driver behind abrupt climate change is due to the sun! During the past 100 years solar wind, geomagnetic activity, and solar cycles have been very strong which would explain most of the .8 degrees of warming we have expierenced in the past 150 years. The only problem is now that we are very close to Dalton Minimum (http://sesfoundation.org/dalton_minimum.pdf) type activity from the sun which was one of the main causes of the Little Ice Age. In fact you can read up on the current solar cycle state and it's implication here (http://www.warwickhughes.com/agri/Solar_Arch_NY_Mar2_08.pdf)

Anyway the current solar cycle 24 has yet to make an appearance which has caused the solar to drop off big time allowing more cosmic rays from outside space to enter the inner solar system. They hit our atmosphere and create nucleation sites for cloud dropplets to form an with more clouds the suns already weakened energy is reflected back out into space which causes cooling. If the sun doesn't wake up soon some suggest the global temperature will drop by an average of 2 degrees celcius within just a few years!

See figure 1 on the solar wind: Note click the image so bigger version.

Recap of last winter

Just getting ready for the upcoming winter by going over what happened last winter:

Snow: (Note excluding the past two winters Netcong average snow was 81 inches)

Ave Actual
Nov-1.90" 6.00" (+4.10)
Dec- 7.30" 10.75" (+3.45)
Jan- 14.00" 5.25" (-8.75)
Feb- 8.00" 15.13" (+7.13)
Mar-5.90" 0.55" (-5.35)
Arp- 2.10" o.00" (-2.10)

Total:37.68"(-1.52")

As for snow we fell about 1.5" inches below the 200 year average but as for our decade average we fell short by around 43 inches.


Temperature:

Nov- 39.35 (-1.95)
Dec- 30.87 (-.78)
Jan- 29.59 (+2.8)
Feb- 28.90 (Ave)
Mar- 37.46 (+1.11)

Ave:32.17 (33.23) +1.06

As for the average winter temperatures we were about one degree warmer than the winter (Nov-Mar) average.